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2025-08-0909:40Petco Park
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Padres
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.4
Red Sox scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 30%
Padres scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 40%
Short-term swingCombined vs league +1pp
#2
Inn.1
Red Sox scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 35%
Padres scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 30%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -0pp
#3
Inn.3
Red Sox scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 5%
Padres scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +3pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Red Sox offense × Padres defense
28%R 25% · RA 30%
Padres offense × Red Sox defense
30%R 20% · RA 40%
Sample 20Combined vs league +1pp
Last 20 58% · Season 55% · +2pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
57%
+3pp
4–6 Middle
47%
-9pp
7–9 Late
42%
-10pp
F5 first five
54%
+0pp
F9 full game
48%
-5pp
Show team trends+

Red Sox — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

116 games
0255075100807915141270603436747933567496665076356841379172410+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.71.01.312345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 577Runs Allowed 496

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

115 games
02448729757501534125656353554596653241677427404483736912710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 476Runs Allowed 438
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Red SoxR#132% 37/11626% 30/116#232% 37/11625% 29/116#332% 37/11631% 36/11628% 33/11624% 28/11628% 24/8661% 14/23
RA#134% 39/11621% 24/116#327% 31/116#234% 39/11622% 25/11624% 28/11620% 23/11624% 28/11626% 25/9670% 16/23
PadresR27% 31/115#328% 32/115#230% 35/11526% 30/11524% 28/11521% 24/115#137% 43/11523% 26/11526% 22/8467% 8/12
RA24% 28/11523% 26/115#229% 33/115#326% 30/115#130% 35/11521% 24/11517% 20/11520% 23/11520% 18/8942% 5/12

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.