Scoring Analysis

Final

2025-08-0906:40PNC Park

Reds

Away

2-3

Pirates

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Reds	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	2	8	0
Pirates	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	2	X	3	5	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.4

Reds scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 40%

Pirates scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 30%

Heating upCombined vs league +11pp

Inn.1

Reds scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 25%

Pirates scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 25%

Heating upCombined vs league +2pp

Inn.5

Reds scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 35%

Pirates scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 20%

Short-term swingCombined vs league -0pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Reds offense × Pirates defense

40%R 40% · RA 40%

Pirates offense × Reds defense

28%R 25% · RA 30%

Sample 20Combined vs league +11pp

Last 20 68% · Season 53% · +14pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

48%

-5pp

4–6 Middle

59%

+4pp

7–9 Late

46%

-5pp

F5 first five

53%

-1pp

F9 full game

51%

-2pp

Show team trends+

Reds — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

116 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 521Runs Allowed 486

Pirates — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

116 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 414Runs Allowed 466

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Reds	R	#132% 37/116	19% 22/116	29% 34/116	#330% 35/116	30% 35/116	#231% 36/115	23% 27/115	26% 30/115	29% 25/87	17% 2/12
Reds	RA	26% 30/116	23% 27/116	#328% 32/116	27% 31/116	28% 32/116	24% 28/116	#228% 32/115	#129% 33/115	25% 22/89	67% 8/12
Pirates	R	#228% 32/116	#322% 26/116	21% 24/116	21% 24/116	#129% 34/116	22% 26/116	22% 26/116	19% 22/116	20% 18/89	42% 8/19
Pirates	RA	23% 27/116	16% 18/116	25% 29/116	#128% 33/116	#228% 33/116	#328% 32/116	24% 28/116	23% 27/116	27% 23/84	42% 8/19

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.