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2025-08-0404:10Petco Park
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Padres
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.2
Cardinals scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 35%
Padres scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 45%
Sustained highCombined vs league +23pp
#2
Inn.3
Cardinals scoring tendency
18%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 15%
Padres scoring tendency
50%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 55%
Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp
#3
Inn.5
Cardinals scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 45%
Padres scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cardinals offense × Padres defense
30%R 25% · RA 35%
Padres offense × Cardinals defense
43%R 40% · RA 45%
Sample 20Combined vs league +23pp
Last 20 73% · Season 49% · +23pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
65%
+11pp
4–6 Middle
51%
-4pp
7–9 Late
44%
-8pp
F5 first five
62%
+8pp
F9 full game
53%
-0pp
Show team trends+

Cardinals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

112 games
021426385376614962266653626044868565366475476250845279111310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 492Runs Allowed 501

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

111 games
0224466885746151392555535152459665304167042739418353397710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 454Runs Allowed 422
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
CardinalsR26% 29/11223% 26/11226% 29/112#229% 33/11223% 26/112#132% 36/11224% 27/11227% 30/112#327% 23/8454% 7/13
RA#132% 36/11226% 29/11229% 32/112#232% 36/112#332% 36/11221% 23/11225% 28/11225% 28/11222% 18/8362% 8/13
PadresR#328% 31/11128% 31/111#231% 34/11126% 29/11125% 28/11120% 22/111#136% 40/11123% 25/11126% 21/8170% 7/10
RA23% 25/11122% 24/111#229% 32/111#325% 28/111#132% 35/11122% 24/11118% 20/11119% 21/11120% 17/8650% 5/10

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.