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Final
2025-08-0402:20Wrigley Field
3-5
Cubs
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Orioles001100001372
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.7
Orioles scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 20%
Cubs scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +15pp
#2
Inn.1
Orioles scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 30%
Cubs scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 20%
Sustained highCombined vs league +8pp
#3
Inn.2
Orioles scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 25%
Cubs scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +16pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Orioles offense × Cubs defense
30%R 40% · RA 20%
Cubs offense × Orioles defense
38%R 45% · RA 30%
Sample 20Combined vs league +15pp
Last 20 68% · Season 57% · +11pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
62%
+9pp
4–6 Middle
48%
-7pp
7–9 Late
55%
+4pp
F5 first five
57%
+3pp
F9 full game
55%
+2pp
Show team trends+

Orioles — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

111 games
02346699250691565926973334714506756545668567607381932915810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.01.62.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 486Runs Allowed 553

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

110 games
02449749965581793625348362634676756540670397687283721981710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.11.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 574Runs Allowed 461
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
OriolesR27% 30/11124% 27/111#133% 37/11121% 23/11124% 27/111#329% 32/111#231% 34/11124% 27/11115% 13/8456% 5/9
RA31% 34/11132% 35/111#332% 36/111#233% 37/111#135% 39/11125% 28/11130% 33/11126% 29/11125% 20/7967% 6/9
CubsR32% 35/110#135% 38/11025% 27/11032% 35/11030% 33/11026% 29/110#233% 36/110#333% 36/11023% 19/8150% 7/14
RA#230% 33/11022% 24/11027% 30/110#131% 34/110#330% 33/11020% 22/11020% 22/11021% 23/11017% 15/8650% 7/14

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.