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Final
2025-08-0310:10Petco Park
8-5
Padres
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Team123456789RHE
Cardinals0004200028120
Padres121000001590

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.2
Cardinals scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 35%
Padres scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 40%
Heating upCombined vs league +18pp
#2
Inn.3
Cardinals scoring tendency
20%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 15%
Padres scoring tendency
48%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 55%
Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp
#3
Inn.5
Cardinals scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 40%
Padres scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 40%
Heating upCombined vs league +7pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cardinals offense × Padres defense
30%R 25% · RA 35%
Padres offense × Cardinals defense
38%R 35% · RA 40%
Sample 20Combined vs league +18pp
Last 20 68% · Season 49% · +19pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
62%
+8pp
4–6 Middle
48%
-7pp
7–9 Late
41%
-11pp
F5 first five
58%
+4pp
F9 full game
50%
-3pp
Show team trends+

Cardinals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

111 games
021426385376514960266643586044668565366475476250843269111310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 484Runs Allowed 496

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

110 games
0224466885646149392545535148459645304167042739418343197710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 449Runs Allowed 414
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
CardinalsR26% 29/11123% 26/11126% 29/111#229% 32/11123% 25/111#132% 36/11124% 27/111#327% 30/11127% 22/8354% 7/13
RA#332% 35/11125% 28/11128% 31/111#132% 36/111#232% 36/11121% 23/11125% 28/11125% 28/11121% 17/8262% 8/13
PadresR#327% 30/11027% 30/110#230% 33/11026% 29/11025% 28/11020% 22/110#136% 40/11023% 25/11025% 20/8070% 7/10
RA23% 25/11022% 24/110#229% 32/110#325% 27/110#131% 34/11022% 24/11018% 20/11019% 21/11019% 16/8550% 5/10

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.