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2025-08-0209:40Petco Park
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Padres
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.2
Cardinals scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 40%
Padres scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 45%
Sustained highCombined vs league +23pp
#2
Inn.3
Cardinals scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 20%
Padres scoring tendency
50%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 60%
Sustained highCombined vs league +19pp
#3
Inn.5
Cardinals scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 40%
Padres scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 40%
Short-term swingCombined vs league +2pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cardinals offense × Padres defense
32%R 25% · RA 40%
Padres offense × Cardinals defense
40%R 35% · RA 45%
Sample 20Combined vs league +23pp
Last 20 73% · Season 49% · +23pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
67%
+13pp
4–6 Middle
48%
-8pp
7–9 Late
43%
-9pp
F5 first five
61%
+6pp
F9 full game
52%
-1pp
Show team trends+

Cardinals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

110 games
020416283376514960266643586044564565366475476250843269111310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 483Runs Allowed 492

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

109 games
0224466885646149392545535148455635304167042739418343197710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 445Runs Allowed 413
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
CardinalsR26% 29/11024% 26/11026% 29/110#229% 32/11022% 24/110#133% 36/11025% 27/110#327% 30/11027% 22/8254% 7/13
RA#232% 35/11025% 28/11028% 31/110#133% 36/110#332% 35/11021% 23/11025% 28/11025% 28/11021% 17/8262% 8/13
PadresR#328% 30/10928% 30/109#230% 33/10927% 29/10925% 27/10920% 22/109#137% 40/10923% 25/10925% 20/8070% 7/10
RA23% 25/10922% 24/109#229% 32/109#325% 27/109#130% 33/10922% 24/10918% 20/10919% 21/10919% 16/8450% 5/10

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.