Scoring Analysis

Final

2025-08-0202:20Wrigley Field

Orioles

Away

0-1

Cubs

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Orioles	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0
Cubs	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	X	1	4	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.7

Orioles scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 20%

Cubs scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 50%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +21pp

Inn.1

Orioles scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 35%

Cubs scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 20%

Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp

Inn.8

Orioles scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 35%

Cubs scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Orioles offense × Cubs defense

32%R 45% · RA 20%

Cubs offense × Orioles defense

40%R 50% · RA 30%

Sample 20Combined vs league +21pp

Last 20 73% · Season 58% · +15pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

64%

+11pp

4–6 Middle

53%

-2pp

7–9 Late

58%

+7pp

F5 first five

60%

+5pp

F9 full game

59%

+5pp

Show team trends+

Orioles — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

109 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 482Runs Allowed 549

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

108 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 570Runs Allowed 457

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Orioles	R	28% 30/109	25% 27/109	#134% 37/109	21% 23/109	25% 27/109	#329% 32/109	#231% 34/109	24% 26/109	16% 13/82	56% 5/9
Orioles	RA	31% 34/109	30% 33/109	#233% 36/109	#333% 36/109	#136% 39/109	26% 28/109	30% 33/109	27% 29/109	26% 20/78	67% 6/9
Cubs	R	32% 35/108	#133% 36/108	25% 27/108	31% 34/108	31% 33/108	27% 29/108	#233% 36/108	#333% 36/108	24% 19/80	50% 7/14
Cubs	RA	#231% 33/108	22% 24/108	28% 30/108	#131% 34/108	#331% 33/108	20% 22/108	20% 22/108	20% 22/108	18% 15/84	50% 7/14

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.