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Final
2025-07-3102:10Daikin Park
1-9
Astros
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.3
Nationals scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 40%
Astros scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 35%
Heating upCombined vs league +13pp
#2
Inn.4
Nationals scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 40%
Astros scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 30%
Heating upCombined vs league +7pp
#3
Inn.8
Nationals scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 35%
Astros scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Astros defense
40%R 40% · RA 40%
Astros offense × Nationals defense
28%R 20% · RA 35%
Sample 20Combined vs league +13pp
Last 20 68% · Season 52% · +16pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
53%
-0pp
4–6 Middle
59%
+4pp
7–9 Late
58%
+6pp
F5 first five
56%
+1pp
F9 full game
57%
+3pp
Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

107 games
027548110971751474623662354444376054968655877537384742913710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.01.52.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 462Runs Allowed 564

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

108 games
025507510036581414326458337544655158027650457534382835910910+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 464Runs Allowed 423
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
NationalsR28% 30/10726% 28/10720% 21/10728% 30/10721% 23/107#229% 31/107#130% 32/10724% 26/107#329% 26/9050% 4/8
RA32% 34/10730% 32/10728% 30/10722% 24/107#333% 35/10731% 33/107#234% 36/107#136% 38/10728% 22/7950% 4/8
AstrosR22% 24/10819% 21/10826% 28/10821% 23/108#329% 31/108#134% 37/10824% 26/108#230% 32/10724% 19/7954% 7/13
RA#328% 30/10825% 27/108#230% 32/10828% 30/108#131% 34/10820% 22/10821% 23/10719% 20/10723% 21/9038% 5/13

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.