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2025-07-3009:40Petco Park
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.3
Mets scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 25%
Padres scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp
#2
Inn.2
Mets scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 40%
Padres scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp
#3
Inn.5
Mets scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 35%
Padres scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 35%
Heating upCombined vs league +7pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mets offense × Padres defense
28%R 30% · RA 25%
Padres offense × Mets defense
38%R 40% · RA 35%
Sample 20Combined vs league +11pp
Last 20 65% · Season 60% · +5pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
59%
+6pp
4–6 Middle
56%
+1pp
7–9 Late
51%
-1pp
F5 first five
59%
+5pp
F9 full game
55%
+2pp
Show team trends+

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

107 games
0204162835240147392594334846454485416465348766448443898810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 472Runs Allowed 418

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

107 games
0204161825546147392525535148455625294166542738418343197710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 433Runs Allowed 412
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
MetsR28% 30/10726% 28/107#135% 37/10723% 25/10727% 29/10722% 24/10722% 24/107#334% 36/107#234% 26/7638% 5/13
RA20% 21/10723% 25/10725% 27/10726% 28/107#327% 29/107#228% 30/107#129% 31/10717% 18/10726% 22/8554% 7/13
PadresR#327% 29/10727% 29/107#230% 32/10727% 29/10725% 27/10720% 21/107#136% 39/10722% 24/10725% 20/8070% 7/10
RA23% 25/10722% 24/107#130% 32/107#325% 27/107#230% 32/10722% 24/10719% 20/10720% 21/10720% 16/8250% 5/10

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.