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Final
2025-07-3008:10Daikin Park
4-7
Astros
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Nationals0020001104100
Astros10011310X7130

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.3
Nationals scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 35%
Astros scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 35%
Heating upCombined vs league +11pp
#2
Inn.8
Nationals scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 30%
Astros scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp
#3
Inn.4
Nationals scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 40%
Astros scoring tendency
20%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 25%
Heating upCombined vs league +4pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Astros defense
35%R 35% · RA 35%
Astros offense × Nationals defense
30%R 25% · RA 35%
Sample 20Combined vs league +11pp
Last 20 65% · Season 51% · +14pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
55%
+1pp
4–6 Middle
58%
+2pp
7–9 Late
56%
+4pp
F5 first five
56%
+2pp
F9 full game
56%
+3pp
Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

106 games
027548110871741474623462354434375954965654867527384742913710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.01.52.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 458Runs Allowed 557

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

107 games
02448729735581414326456336544645157727649447534282835910910+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 457Runs Allowed 419
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
NationalsR28% 30/10626% 28/10619% 20/10628% 30/10622% 23/106#129% 31/106#229% 31/10624% 25/106#329% 26/8950% 4/8
RA31% 33/10630% 32/10628% 30/10622% 23/106#332% 34/10630% 32/106#233% 35/106#136% 38/10628% 22/7950% 4/8
AstrosR21% 23/10720% 21/10726% 28/10721% 22/107#328% 30/107#134% 36/10723% 25/107#230% 32/10624% 19/7954% 7/13
RA#328% 30/10725% 27/107#229% 31/10728% 30/107#132% 34/10721% 22/10721% 22/10618% 19/10624% 21/8938% 5/13

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.