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Final
2025-07-2909:40Petco Park
Mets
Away
6-7
Padres
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Mets010040001661
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.3
Mets scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Padres scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp
#2
Inn.2
Mets scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 35%
Padres scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Heating upCombined vs league +11pp
#3
Inn.6
Mets scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 25%
Padres scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 40%
Heating upCombined vs league +3pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mets offense × Padres defense
30%R 30% · RA 30%
Padres offense × Mets defense
32%R 35% · RA 30%
Sample 20Combined vs league +9pp
Last 20 62% · Season 59% · +3pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
57%
+4pp
4–6 Middle
56%
+1pp
7–9 Late
48%
-3pp
F5 first five
56%
+2pp
F9 full game
54%
+0pp
Show team trends+

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

106 games
0204162835240146392594234846450435416465348766448433798810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 466Runs Allowed 411

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

106 games
0204161825546147382515535148450585294166542738418333097710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 426Runs Allowed 406
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
MetsR28% 30/10625% 27/106#135% 37/10624% 25/10626% 28/10623% 24/10623% 24/106#234% 36/106#333% 25/7538% 5/13
RA20% 21/10624% 25/10625% 26/106#326% 28/10626% 28/106#228% 30/106#129% 31/10617% 18/10625% 21/8454% 7/13
PadresR#327% 29/10627% 29/106#229% 31/10627% 29/10625% 26/10620% 21/106#137% 39/10623% 24/10624% 19/7970% 7/10
RA24% 25/10622% 23/106#130% 32/106#325% 27/106#229% 31/10623% 24/10619% 20/10620% 21/10619% 15/8150% 5/10

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.