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2025-07-2102:20Wrigley Field
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.3
Red Sox scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Cubs scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp
#2
Inn.4
Red Sox scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 30%
Cubs scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +5pp
#3
Inn.1
Red Sox scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 15%
Cubs scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 25%
Cooling downCombined vs league -3pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Red Sox offense × Cubs defense
30%R 30% · RA 30%
Cubs offense × Red Sox defense
32%R 35% · RA 30%
Sample 20Combined vs league +9pp
Last 20 62% · Season 55% · +7pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
58%
+4pp
4–6 Middle
51%
-4pp
7–9 Late
47%
-5pp
F5 first five
55%
+0pp
F9 full game
52%
-2pp
Show team trends+

Red Sox — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

100 games
022446688707014735258533335746131561486584475848833339132110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.71.01.412345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 492Runs Allowed 440

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

98 games
02142638459511673224841361564665455933658347635683320981710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.11.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 522Runs Allowed 394
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Red SoxR#132% 32/10028% 28/100#331% 31/10025% 25/10031% 31/100#232% 32/10028% 28/10026% 26/10028% 21/7658% 11/19
RA#135% 35/10019% 19/10026% 26/100#232% 32/10023% 23/10027% 27/10020% 20/10024% 24/100#328% 23/8168% 13/19
CubsR#333% 32/9832% 31/9826% 25/98#135% 34/9833% 32/9827% 26/9831% 30/98#234% 33/9824% 17/7150% 7/14
RA#230% 29/9821% 21/98#328% 27/98#132% 31/9828% 27/9819% 19/9819% 19/9818% 18/9818% 14/7750% 7/14

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.