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Final
2025-07-2009:40T-Mobile Park
Astros
Away
6-7
Mariners
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.8
Astros scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 25%
Mariners scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 25%
Heating upCombined vs league +9pp
#2
Inn.4
Astros scoring tendency
15%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 10%
Mariners scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 40%
Short-term swingCombined vs league +2pp
#3
Inn.1
Astros scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Mariners scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 10%
Opponent allowing 40%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -0pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Astros offense × Mariners defense
35%R 45% · RA 25%
Mariners offense × Astros defense
25%R 25% · RA 25%
Sample 20Combined vs league +9pp
Last 20 60% · Season 46% · +14pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
49%
-4pp
4–6 Middle
52%
-2pp
7–9 Late
56%
+5pp
F5 first five
50%
-5pp
F9 full game
53%
-1pp
Show team trends+

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

97 games
0214365873550138392624933646457485692364143748388242599710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 419Runs Allowed 368

Mariners — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

97 games
019385777514614626247453434944757549616544174642853249212910+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.71.01.312345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 457Runs Allowed 420
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
AstrosR24% 23/9721% 20/97#327% 26/9723% 22/9727% 26/97#133% 32/9723% 22/97#230% 29/9622% 15/6955% 6/11
RA26% 25/9725% 24/97#228% 27/97#327% 26/97#132% 31/9719% 18/9722% 21/9617% 16/9623% 18/7927% 3/11
MarinersR#230% 29/97#330% 29/9725% 24/9730% 29/9726% 25/97#132% 31/9729% 28/9722% 21/9729% 22/7641% 11/27
RA#230% 29/9714% 14/97#329% 28/9729% 28/97#131% 30/9728% 27/9725% 24/9724% 23/9721% 17/8048% 13/27

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.