Sportify
Final
2025-07-2006:45Nationals Park
Padres
Away
2-4
Team123456789RHE
Padres002000000260
Nationals02001100X461

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.7
Padres scoring tendency
52%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 55%
Nationals scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 15%
Sustained highCombined vs league +26pp
#2
Inn.4
Padres scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 35%
Nationals scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 35%
Heating upCombined vs league +20pp
#3
Inn.9
Padres scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 23%
Opponent allowing 33%
Nationals scoring tendency
31%
Own scoring 39%
Opponent allowing 24%
Sustained highCombined vs league +8pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Padres offense × Nationals defense
52%R 50% · RA 55%
Nationals offense × Padres defense
25%R 35% · RA 15%
Sample 20Combined vs league +26pp
Last 20 78% · Season 63% · +15pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
49%
-4pp
4–6 Middle
62%
+8pp
7–9 Late
63%
+12pp
F5 first five
56%
+1pp
F9 full game
58%
+5pp
Show team trends+

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

97 games
0204060804642143282425534544448545293666442736408303097710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 390Runs Allowed 378

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

97 games
027548110866691454422957350364265654263652867497084738913710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.01.52.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 419Runs Allowed 526
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
PadresR#227% 26/97#327% 26/9727% 26/9727% 26/9726% 25/9722% 21/97#139% 38/9723% 22/9724% 17/7070% 7/10
RA23% 22/9720% 19/97#133% 32/97#325% 24/97#229% 28/9721% 20/9721% 20/9721% 20/9719% 15/7750% 5/10
NationalsR#329% 28/9728% 27/9718% 17/9727% 26/9719% 18/9728% 27/97#230% 29/9725% 24/97#131% 26/8350% 4/8
RA#333% 32/9731% 30/9728% 27/9721% 20/9732% 31/9732% 31/97#236% 35/97#137% 36/9728% 20/7150% 4/8

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.