Scoring Analysis

Final

2025-07-1910:10T-Mobile Park

Astros

Away

1-6

Mariners

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Astros	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	4	0
Mariners	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	4	X	6	6	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.6

Astros scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 35%

Mariners scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 50%

Opponent allowing 10%

Sustained highCombined vs league +8pp

Inn.1

Astros scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 30%

Mariners scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 10%

Opponent allowing 40%

Short-term swingCombined vs league -0pp

Inn.3

Astros scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 20%

Mariners scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +4pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Astros offense × Mariners defense

32%R 30% · RA 35%

Mariners offense × Astros defense

30%R 50% · RA 10%

Sample 20Combined vs league +8pp

Last 20 62% · Season 56% · +6pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

52%

-2pp

4–6 Middle

54%

-1pp

7–9 Late

53%

+1pp

F5 first five

51%

-3pp

F9 full game

53%

-0pp

Show team trends+

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

96 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 418Runs Allowed 362

Mariners — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

96 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 451Runs Allowed 419

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Astros	R	24% 23/96	21% 20/96	#327% 26/96	23% 22/96	27% 26/96	#133% 32/96	23% 22/96	#229% 28/95	22% 15/68	55% 6/11
Astros	RA	#326% 25/96	25% 24/96	#228% 27/96	26% 25/96	#132% 31/96	19% 18/96	21% 20/95	16% 15/95	23% 18/79	27% 3/11
Mariners	R	#230% 29/96	#330% 29/96	25% 24/96	29% 28/96	26% 25/96	#132% 31/96	28% 27/96	21% 20/96	29% 22/76	41% 11/27
Mariners	RA	#230% 29/96	15% 14/96	#329% 28/96	29% 28/96	#131% 30/96	28% 27/96	25% 24/96	23% 22/96	22% 17/79	48% 13/27

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.