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Final
2025-07-1404:10Petco Park
2-1
Padres
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.2
Phillies scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 35%
Padres scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 45%
Heating upCombined vs league +21pp
#2
Inn.5
Phillies scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 40%
Padres scoring tendency
20%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 20%
Heating upCombined vs league +5pp
#3
Inn.4
Phillies scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 35%
Padres scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 15%
Short-term swingCombined vs league +2pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Phillies offense × Padres defense
32%R 30% · RA 35%
Padres offense × Phillies defense
38%R 30% · RA 45%
Sample 20Combined vs league +21pp
Last 20 70% · Season 47% · +23pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
45%
-9pp
4–6 Middle
55%
+0pp
7–9 Late
47%
-5pp
F5 first five
51%
-4pp
F9 full game
49%
-4pp
Show team trends+

Phillies — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

95 games
019395979622913550241263634343427537566574875941832429161210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.712345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 436Runs Allowed 374

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

95 games
0193959794641142282425534544448545283666342736378253097710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 382Runs Allowed 374
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
PhilliesR#332% 30/9520% 19/9521% 20/95#134% 32/9528% 27/9522% 21/95#233% 31/9529% 28/9524% 16/6767% 8/12
RA20% 19/95#328% 27/9512% 11/9523% 22/9520% 19/95#232% 30/9527% 26/9526% 25/95#132% 24/7550% 6/12
PadresR#227% 26/9526% 25/95#327% 26/9527% 26/9526% 25/9521% 20/95#139% 37/9523% 22/9524% 16/6870% 7/10
RA22% 21/9520% 19/95#134% 32/95#325% 24/95#229% 28/9521% 20/9521% 20/9519% 18/9520% 15/7550% 5/10

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.