Scoring Analysis

Final

2025-07-1100:05Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Mets

Away

1-3

Orioles

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Mets	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	5	0
Orioles	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	X	3	6	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.6

Mets scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 35%

Orioles scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 35%

Heating upCombined vs league +18pp

Inn.4

Mets scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 45%

Orioles scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 40%

Heating upCombined vs league +10pp

Inn.5

Mets scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 35%

Orioles scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +10pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mets offense × Orioles defense

38%R 40% · RA 35%

Orioles offense × Mets defense

35%R 35% · RA 35%

Sample 20Combined vs league +18pp

Last 20 72% · Season 54% · +19pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

51%

-3pp

4–6 Middle

68%

+13pp

7–9 Late

43%

-8pp

F5 first five

57%

+2pp

F9 full game

54%

+1pp

Show team trends+

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

92 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 409Runs Allowed 364

Orioles — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

90 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 377Runs Allowed 460

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Mets	R	27% 25/92	27% 25/92	#235% 32/92	22% 20/92	26% 24/92	25% 23/92	24% 22/92	#136% 33/92	#329% 19/65	38% 5/13
Mets	RA	21% 19/92	23% 21/92	25% 23/92	26% 24/92	26% 24/92	#327% 25/92	#129% 27/92	16% 15/92	#228% 20/72	54% 7/13
Orioles	R	23% 21/90	24% 22/90	#134% 31/90	22% 20/90	26% 23/90	#229% 26/90	#329% 26/90	22% 20/90	15% 11/71	56% 5/9
Orioles	RA	#233% 30/90	#331% 28/90	31% 28/90	31% 28/90	#136% 32/90	27% 24/90	30% 27/90	26% 23/90	27% 17/64	67% 6/9

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.