Scoring Analysis

Final

2025-07-0906:35Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Mets

Away

7-6

Orioles

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H	E
Mets	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	4	0	1	7	11	0
Orioles	0	0	1	0	0	4	1	0	0	0	6	9	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.4

Mets scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 45%

Orioles scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 40%

Heating upCombined vs league +12pp

Inn.5

Mets scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 35%

Orioles scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp

Inn.6

Mets scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 30%

Orioles scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 30%

Heating upCombined vs league +11pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mets offense × Orioles defense

35%R 25% · RA 45%

Orioles offense × Mets defense

32%R 25% · RA 40%

Sample 20Combined vs league +12pp

Last 20 68% · Season 51% · +16pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

53%

-0pp

4–6 Middle

67%

+12pp

7–9 Late

43%

-8pp

F5 first five

59%

+5pp

F9 full game

54%

+1pp

Show team trends+

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

91 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 402Runs Allowed 358

Orioles — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

89 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 371Runs Allowed 453

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Mets	R	27% 25/91	27% 25/91	#135% 32/91	22% 20/91	26% 24/91	24% 22/91	24% 22/91	#235% 32/91	#330% 19/64	33% 4/12
Mets	RA	21% 19/91	23% 21/91	24% 22/91	#326% 24/91	26% 24/91	26% 24/91	#129% 26/91	16% 15/91	#228% 20/71	58% 7/12
Orioles	R	24% 21/89	25% 22/89	#134% 30/89	22% 20/89	26% 23/89	#228% 25/89	#328% 25/89	22% 20/89	16% 11/70	62% 5/8
Orioles	RA	#234% 30/89	#331% 28/89	31% 28/89	31% 28/89	#136% 32/89	26% 23/89	30% 27/89	25% 22/89	27% 17/63	62% 5/8

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.