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2025-07-0706:10Wrigley Field
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.4
Cardinals scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 45%
Cubs scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +17pp
#2
Inn.1
Cardinals scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Cubs scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +4pp
#3
Inn.5
Cardinals scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 25%
Cubs scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +7pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cardinals offense × Cubs defense
40%R 35% · RA 45%
Cubs offense × Cardinals defense
32%R 30% · RA 35%
Sample 20Combined vs league +17pp
Last 20 72% · Season 66% · +6pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
55%
+1pp
4–6 Middle
60%
+5pp
7–9 Late
46%
-6pp
F5 first five
60%
+6pp
F9 full game
54%
+0pp
Show team trends+

Cardinals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

90 games
018375675324513741257393504744154550346375076042839239111310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 414Runs Allowed 388

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

89 games
01939597951471633023837356554635155632655327604783118981710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.11.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 481Runs Allowed 366
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
CardinalsR28% 25/9023% 21/9027% 24/90#330% 27/9023% 21/90#131% 28/9023% 21/90#231% 28/9029% 20/6854% 7/13
RA#329% 26/9021% 19/9021% 19/90#134% 31/90#230% 27/9024% 22/9027% 24/9024% 22/9021% 14/6862% 8/13
CubsR30% 27/8931% 28/8925% 22/89#135% 31/89#334% 30/8927% 24/8930% 27/89#235% 31/8923% 15/6550% 7/14
RA#230% 27/8921% 19/89#328% 25/89#134% 30/8928% 25/8920% 18/8920% 18/8918% 16/8918% 13/7150% 7/14

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.