Scoring Analysis

Final

2025-07-0602:20Wrigley Field

Cardinals

Away

8-6

Cubs

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Cardinals	2	0	0	1	0	0	0	5	0	8	13	1
Cubs	0	1	0	1	0	2	1	1	0	6	9	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.4

Cardinals scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 40%

Cubs scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp

Inn.5

Cardinals scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 25%

Cubs scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 40%

Sustained highCombined vs league +10pp

Inn.1

Cardinals scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 25%

Cubs scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 25%

Short-term swingCombined vs league -1pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cardinals offense × Cubs defense

35%R 30% · RA 40%

Cubs offense × Cardinals defense

32%R 30% · RA 35%

Sample 20Combined vs league +12pp

Last 20 68% · Season 65% · +3pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

52%

-2pp

4–6 Middle

59%

+4pp

7–9 Late

43%

-9pp

F5 first five

57%

+3pp

F9 full game

51%

-2pp

Show team trends+

Cardinals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

89 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 406Runs Allowed 382

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

88 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 475Runs Allowed 358

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Cardinals	R	27% 24/89	24% 21/89	27% 24/89	29% 26/89	24% 21/89	#131% 28/89	24% 21/89	#230% 27/89	#330% 20/67	54% 7/13
Cardinals	RA	#329% 26/89	20% 18/89	21% 19/89	#134% 30/89	#230% 27/89	24% 21/89	26% 23/89	24% 21/89	21% 14/67	62% 8/13
Cubs	R	31% 27/88	31% 27/88	25% 22/88	#134% 30/88	#234% 30/88	26% 23/88	30% 26/88	#334% 30/88	23% 15/64	50% 7/14
Cubs	RA	#230% 26/88	22% 19/88	#328% 25/88	#133% 29/88	28% 25/88	20% 18/88	20% 18/88	17% 15/88	19% 13/70	50% 7/14

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.