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2025-07-0502:20Wrigley Field
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.4
Cardinals scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 40%
Cubs scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp
#2
Inn.5
Cardinals scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 25%
Cubs scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +8pp
#3
Inn.1
Cardinals scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 30%
Cubs scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 20%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -3pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cardinals offense × Cubs defense
32%R 25% · RA 40%
Cubs offense × Cardinals defense
35%R 35% · RA 35%
Sample 20Combined vs league +13pp
Last 20 68% · Season 65% · +3pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
49%
-4pp
4–6 Middle
58%
+4pp
7–9 Late
41%
-11pp
F5 first five
55%
+1pp
F9 full game
49%
-4pp
Show team trends+

Cardinals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

88 games
018365472304313738257363484644153550326374675541837239111310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 403Runs Allowed 371

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

87 games
01939587849451603023537355534625155432651327594283116981710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.11.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 464Runs Allowed 355
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
CardinalsR27% 24/8824% 21/8827% 24/8828% 25/8824% 21/88#132% 28/8824% 21/88#231% 27/88#329% 19/6654% 7/13
RA#328% 25/8819% 17/8820% 18/88#134% 30/88#230% 26/8824% 21/8825% 22/8824% 21/8821% 14/6762% 8/13
CubsR30% 26/8730% 26/8724% 21/87#134% 30/87#333% 29/8726% 23/8729% 25/87#234% 30/8723% 15/6450% 7/14
RA#230% 26/8722% 19/87#329% 25/87#132% 28/8729% 25/8721% 18/8721% 18/8717% 15/8717% 12/6950% 7/14

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.