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Final
2025-07-0308:05Wrigley Field
4-5
Cubs
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Guardians021000001470
Cubs00230000X591

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.4
Guardians scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 45%
Cubs scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +15pp
#2
Inn.1
Guardians scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 30%
Cubs scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 30%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -0pp
#3
Inn.5
Guardians scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 10%
Opponent allowing 35%
Cubs scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -0pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Guardians offense × Cubs defense
40%R 35% · RA 45%
Cubs offense × Guardians defense
30%R 35% · RA 25%
Sample 20Combined vs league +15pp
Last 20 70% · Season 61% · +9pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
51%
-2pp
4–6 Middle
59%
+5pp
7–9 Late
42%
-9pp
F5 first five
55%
+1pp
F9 full game
51%
-2pp
Show team trends+

Guardians — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

83 games
01734516826351164123736353334224354541640547293882629911510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.61.11.72.312345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 305Runs Allowed 355

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

85 games
01939587849451602823336352534625155432651327594283115971710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 458Runs Allowed 351
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
GuardiansR22% 18/8312% 10/83#327% 22/83#133% 27/8319% 16/83#229% 24/8322% 18/8320% 17/8324% 16/6783% 5/6
RA27% 22/8323% 19/8322% 18/8323% 19/8328% 23/83#231% 26/83#134% 28/8324% 20/83#329% 18/6250% 3/6
CubsR31% 26/8531% 26/8524% 20/85#234% 29/85#334% 29/8527% 23/8529% 25/85#135% 30/8524% 15/6346% 6/13
RA#231% 26/8521% 18/8528% 24/85#133% 28/85#329% 25/8521% 18/8521% 18/8518% 15/8516% 11/6754% 7/13

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.