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Final
2025-07-0208:05Wrigley Field
2-5
Cubs
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Guardians000200000251
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.4
Guardians scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 40%
Cubs scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +10pp
#2
Inn.1
Guardians scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 35%
Cubs scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 30%
Short-term swingCombined vs league +2pp
#3
Inn.5
Guardians scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 10%
Opponent allowing 40%
Cubs scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +4pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Guardians offense × Cubs defense
35%R 30% · RA 40%
Cubs offense × Guardians defense
30%R 35% · RA 25%
Sample 20Combined vs league +10pp
Last 20 65% · Season 61% · +4pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
50%
-3pp
4–6 Middle
59%
+5pp
7–9 Late
41%
-10pp
F5 first five
55%
+1pp
F9 full game
50%
-3pp
Show team trends+

Guardians — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

82 games
01734516826351163823736351334224354540640547293782629911510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.61.11.72.312345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 303Runs Allowed 350

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

84 games
01939587849451572823336352514625155332651327584283115971710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 453Runs Allowed 349
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
GuardiansR22% 18/8212% 10/82#327% 22/82#132% 26/8220% 16/82#229% 24/8222% 18/8221% 17/8224% 16/6683% 5/6
RA27% 22/8222% 18/8222% 18/8223% 19/8228% 23/82#230% 25/82#134% 28/8223% 19/82#329% 18/6250% 3/6
CubsR31% 26/8430% 25/8424% 20/84#135% 29/84#235% 29/8426% 22/8430% 25/84#335% 29/8424% 15/6346% 6/13
RA#231% 26/8421% 18/8429% 24/84#132% 27/84#330% 25/8421% 18/8421% 18/8418% 15/8417% 11/6654% 7/13

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.