Sportify
Final
2025-06-2904:10Fenway Park
1-15
Team123456789RHE
Blue Jays001000000161
Red Sox33300321X15181

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.1
Blue Jays scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 35%
Red Sox scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp
#2
Inn.5
Blue Jays scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 45%
Red Sox scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 20%
Heating upCombined vs league +15pp
#3
Inn.2
Blue Jays scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 40%
Red Sox scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +16pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Red Sox defense
38%R 40% · RA 35%
Red Sox offense × Blue Jays defense
35%R 45% · RA 25%
Sample 20Combined vs league +14pp
Last 20 72% · Season 65% · +7pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
60%
+6pp
4–6 Middle
64%
+10pp
7–9 Late
54%
+2pp
F5 first five
62%
+8pp
F9 full game
59%
+6pp
Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

81 games
01837557432501363924837329354404254141642257594082332991010+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 359Runs Allowed 351

Red Sox — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

83 games
019395878526213433245453294644829546416433774141830289132110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.71.01.412345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 381Runs Allowed 383
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Blue JaysR27% 22/8123% 19/81#135% 28/8121% 17/81#231% 25/8130% 24/8130% 24/81#331% 25/8125% 15/6167% 8/12
RA#133% 27/81#330% 24/8121% 17/8126% 21/8120% 16/81#232% 26/8121% 17/8127% 22/8125% 16/6442% 5/12
Red SoxR#133% 27/8325% 21/83#231% 26/8327% 22/83#331% 26/8330% 25/8327% 22/8323% 19/8328% 19/6858% 11/19
RA#137% 31/8320% 17/8325% 21/83#231% 26/8325% 21/8325% 21/8320% 17/8325% 21/83#329% 19/6668% 13/19

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.