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Final
2025-06-2808:10Daikin Park
Cubs
Away
4-7
Astros
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Cubs000010201480
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.5
Cubs scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 35%
Astros scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 45%
Sustained highCombined vs league +20pp
#2
Inn.4
Cubs scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 25%
Astros scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +5pp
#3
Inn.1
Cubs scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 0%
Astros scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 35%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -3pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cubs offense × Astros defense
35%R 35% · RA 35%
Astros offense × Cubs defense
40%R 35% · RA 45%
Sample 20Combined vs league +20pp
Last 20 75% · Season 63% · +12pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
51%
-3pp
4–6 Middle
62%
+7pp
7–9 Late
45%
-6pp
F5 first five
57%
+4pp
F9 full game
53%
-0pp
Show team trends+

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

81 games
01938577748451572823330345484614955232649327554183015971710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 437Runs Allowed 337

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

81 games
0163350672738135322424032931447425532063734739298222097210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.50.81.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 338Runs Allowed 288
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
CubsR31% 25/8131% 25/8125% 20/81#135% 28/81#235% 28/8126% 21/8130% 24/81#335% 28/8123% 14/6046% 6/13
RA#132% 26/8122% 18/8127% 22/81#232% 26/81#330% 24/8122% 18/8122% 18/8117% 14/8117% 11/6554% 7/13
AstrosR21% 17/8121% 17/8125% 20/8122% 18/81#327% 22/81#133% 27/8123% 19/81#229% 23/8024% 13/5562% 5/8
RA21% 17/81#323% 19/81#227% 22/8123% 19/81#135% 28/8120% 16/8120% 16/8015% 12/8020% 13/6512% 1/8

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.