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2025-06-2604:10Petco Park
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.9
Nationals scoring tendency
39%
Own scoring 39%
Opponent allowing 40%
Padres scoring tendency
34%
Own scoring 41%
Opponent allowing 27%
Heating upCombined vs league +21pp
#2
Inn.5
Nationals scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 40%
Padres scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 40%
Heating upCombined vs league +10pp
#3
Inn.7
Nationals scoring tendency
20%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 10%
Padres scoring tendency
42%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Padres defense
39%R 39% · RA 40%
Padres offense × Nationals defense
34%R 41% · RA 27%
Sample 15Combined vs league +21pp
Last 20 73% · Season 52% · +21pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
46%
-8pp
4–6 Middle
55%
+1pp
7–9 Late
61%
+9pp
F5 first five
51%
-3pp
F9 full game
54%
+1pp
Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

80 games
02244668856511413522235340264174753753645707355983929910710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.01.62.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 342Runs Allowed 412

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

79 games
0163248654536128202404633936444385233365238734338242696710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 335Runs Allowed 313
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
NationalsR#131% 25/80#330% 24/8015% 12/8025% 20/8015% 12/8028% 22/8028% 22/8022% 18/80#231% 21/6850% 3/6
RA31% 25/8030% 24/8026% 21/8019% 15/80#236% 29/80#332% 26/8032% 26/80#139% 31/8028% 17/6067% 4/6
PadresR#232% 25/7925% 20/79#330% 24/7925% 20/7928% 22/7920% 16/79#137% 29/7925% 20/7926% 15/5867% 6/9
RA22% 17/7916% 13/79#133% 26/79#324% 19/79#227% 21/7922% 17/7922% 17/7919% 15/7919% 12/6256% 5/9

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.