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Final
2025-06-2509:40Petco Park
3-4
Padres
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.9
Nationals scoring tendency
39%
Own scoring 39%
Opponent allowing 40%
Padres scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 44%
Opponent allowing 25%
Heating upCombined vs league +21pp
#2
Inn.7
Nationals scoring tendency
20%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 10%
Padres scoring tendency
45%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp
#3
Inn.5
Nationals scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 40%
Padres scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 40%
Heating upCombined vs league +7pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Padres defense
39%R 39% · RA 40%
Padres offense × Nationals defense
35%R 44% · RA 25%
Sample 15Combined vs league +21pp
Last 20 74% · Season 53% · +22pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
47%
-6pp
4–6 Middle
50%
-4pp
7–9 Late
62%
+11pp
F5 first five
50%
-4pp
F9 full game
53%
-0pp
Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

79 games
02244668856511393522235339244174653752645707355983929910710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.01.62.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 339Runs Allowed 408

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

78 games
0163248654536128182404633735443385223365238734338242696710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 331Runs Allowed 310
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
NationalsR#132% 25/79#329% 23/7915% 12/7924% 19/7915% 12/7928% 22/7928% 22/7923% 18/79#231% 21/6750% 3/6
RA32% 25/7930% 24/7927% 21/7918% 14/79#235% 28/7932% 25/79#333% 26/79#139% 31/7928% 17/6067% 4/6
PadresR#232% 25/7826% 20/78#331% 24/7824% 19/7827% 21/7819% 15/78#137% 29/7826% 20/7826% 15/5867% 6/9
RA22% 17/7815% 12/78#133% 26/78#323% 18/78#227% 21/7822% 17/7822% 17/7819% 15/7820% 12/6156% 5/9

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.