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Final
2025-06-2409:40Petco Park
10-6
Padres
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.9
Nationals scoring tendency
33%
Own scoring 33%
Opponent allowing 33%
Padres scoring tendency
29%
Own scoring 39%
Opponent allowing 20%
Heating upCombined vs league +10pp
#2
Inn.5
Nationals scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 35%
Padres scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 40%
Heating upCombined vs league +5pp
#3
Inn.7
Nationals scoring tendency
20%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 10%
Padres scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Padres defense
33%R 33% · RA 33%
Padres offense × Nationals defense
29%R 39% · RA 20%
Sample 15Combined vs league +10pp
Last 20 63% · Season 50% · +13pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
48%
-6pp
4–6 Middle
44%
-10pp
7–9 Late
55%
+3pp
F5 first five
48%
-6pp
F9 full game
49%
-4pp
Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

78 games
02143658756511393522235335234154653751645697325983826910710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.01.62.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 329Runs Allowed 402

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

77 games
0163248644536128182404633631443365213365138734308212596710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 325Runs Allowed 300
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
NationalsR#132% 25/78#329% 23/7815% 12/7823% 18/7814% 11/7828% 22/7828% 22/7822% 17/78#230% 20/6650% 3/6
RA#332% 25/7831% 24/7827% 21/7817% 13/78#236% 28/7831% 24/7832% 25/78#140% 31/7827% 16/5967% 4/6
PadresR#232% 25/7726% 20/77#331% 24/7723% 18/7727% 21/7718% 14/77#136% 28/7726% 20/7725% 14/5767% 6/9
RA#322% 17/7716% 12/77#134% 26/7722% 17/77#226% 20/7722% 17/7722% 17/7718% 14/7718% 11/6056% 5/9

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.