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Final
2025-06-2109:40Petco Park
Royals
Away
6-5
Padres
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.9
Royals scoring tendency
33%
Own scoring 33%
Opponent allowing 33%
Padres scoring tendency
23%
Own scoring 29%
Opponent allowing 17%
Heating upCombined vs league +4pp
#2
Inn.3
Royals scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 30%
Padres scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 25%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -1pp
#3
Inn.4
Royals scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 25%
Padres scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 30%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -2pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Royals offense × Padres defense
33%R 33% · RA 33%
Padres offense × Royals defense
23%R 29% · RA 17%
Sample 15Combined vs league +4pp
Last 20 56% · Season 45% · +12pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
50%
-4pp
4–6 Middle
48%
-6pp
7–9 Late
43%
-8pp
F5 first five
50%
-4pp
F9 full game
47%
-6pp
Show team trends+

Royals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

75 games
0142842573214123312313132328440325164562421730418271997810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 253Runs Allowed 270

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

74 games
0142842574535127182394533631442335203164438734288192596710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 312Runs Allowed 291
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
RoyalsR#328% 21/7520% 15/7521% 16/7523% 17/75#132% 24/7516% 12/7517% 13/7524% 18/75#229% 17/5964% 7/11
RA13% 10/7527% 20/7520% 15/75#229% 22/7524% 18/75#132% 24/7517% 13/75#329% 22/7520% 12/6145% 5/11
PadresR#134% 25/7426% 19/74#331% 23/7424% 18/7427% 20/7418% 13/74#234% 25/7427% 20/7422% 12/5567% 6/9
RA22% 16/7416% 12/74#134% 25/74#323% 17/74#226% 19/7422% 16/7423% 17/7418% 13/7419% 11/5756% 5/9

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.