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Final
2025-06-1602:20Wrigley Field
2-3
Cubs
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Team12345678910RHE
Pirates2000000000240
Cubs2000000001X360

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.1
Pirates scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 35%
Cubs scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 25%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -1pp
#2
Inn.8
Pirates scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 15%
Cubs scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 15%
Heating upCombined vs league +4pp
#3
Inn.6
Pirates scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 20%
Cubs scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 25%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -3pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Pirates offense × Cubs defense
30%R 25% · RA 35%
Cubs offense × Pirates defense
28%R 30% · RA 25%
Sample 20Combined vs league -1pp
Last 20 57% · Season 54% · +4pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
44%
-9pp
4–6 Middle
48%
-6pp
7–9 Late
43%
-9pp
F5 first five
45%
-9pp
F9 full game
45%
-8pp
Show team trends+

Pirates — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

72 games
0122436492328115142243532139434335292863136725368212897610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 230Runs Allowed 283

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

71 games
01632486437391481922427341384513855025644287513683011961710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.91.31.812345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 382Runs Allowed 278
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
PiratesR#128% 20/7215% 11/72#324% 17/7218% 13/72#228% 20/7221% 15/7222% 16/7218% 13/7222% 13/5843% 6/14
RA22% 16/7214% 10/72#231% 22/7222% 16/7224% 17/7226% 19/7225% 18/72#328% 20/72#135% 18/5243% 6/14
CubsR27% 19/7130% 21/7124% 17/71#135% 25/71#331% 22/7128% 20/7130% 21/71#235% 25/7127% 14/5242% 5/12
RA#131% 22/7118% 13/71#328% 20/71#230% 21/7128% 20/7120% 14/7123% 16/7118% 13/7116% 9/5758% 7/12

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.