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Final
2025-06-1402:20Wrigley Field
2-1
Cubs
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.1
Pirates scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 40%
Cubs scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Heating upCombined vs league +7pp
#2
Inn.7
Pirates scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 20%
Cubs scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 20%
Sustained highCombined vs league +4pp
#3
Inn.4
Pirates scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 25%
Cubs scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -0pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Pirates offense × Cubs defense
32%R 25% · RA 40%
Cubs offense × Pirates defense
32%R 35% · RA 30%
Sample 20Combined vs league +7pp
Last 20 65% · Season 54% · +11pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
47%
-6pp
4–6 Middle
52%
-2pp
7–9 Late
49%
-3pp
F5 first five
49%
-4pp
F9 full game
49%
-3pp
Show team trends+

Pirates — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

70 games
0122436492228115142243432139434335292763136724358212896610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 227Runs Allowed 280

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

69 games
01632486437381481922327341384513854925644287503583011961610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.50.91.41.812345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 379Runs Allowed 275
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
PiratesR#227% 19/7016% 11/70#324% 17/7019% 13/70#129% 20/7021% 15/7023% 16/7017% 12/7023% 13/5638% 5/13
RA23% 16/7014% 10/70#230% 21/7023% 16/7024% 17/7026% 18/7026% 18/70#327% 19/70#135% 18/5146% 6/13
CubsR28% 19/6930% 21/6923% 16/69#136% 25/69#332% 22/6928% 19/6930% 21/69#235% 24/6927% 14/5145% 5/11
RA#130% 21/6919% 13/69#329% 20/69#230% 21/6929% 20/6920% 14/6923% 16/6917% 12/6916% 9/5555% 6/11

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.