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Final
2025-06-1301:10Citi Field
3-4
Mets
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.1
Nationals scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 30%
Mets scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 35%
Heating upCombined vs league +14pp
#2
Inn.3
Nationals scoring tendency
20%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 25%
Mets scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 55%
Opponent allowing 20%
Short-term swingCombined vs league +3pp
#3
Inn.7
Nationals scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 35%
Mets scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +6pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Mets defense
35%R 40% · RA 30%
Mets offense × Nationals defense
38%R 40% · RA 35%
Sample 20Combined vs league +14pp
Last 20 72% · Season 56% · +16pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
61%
+7pp
4–6 Middle
37%
-17pp
7–9 Late
54%
+2pp
F5 first five
54%
+0pp
F9 full game
51%
-2pp
Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

67 games
0163350675344138322172733020411395364263553727518242298610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.61.21.92.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 279Runs Allowed 336

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

68 games
0153147633325134182432832622429235252263926750228292897710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 315Runs Allowed 221
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
NationalsR#133% 22/67#233% 22/6715% 10/6722% 15/6713% 9/67#331% 21/6727% 18/6721% 14/6727% 15/5550% 2/4
RA#331% 21/6731% 21/6727% 18/6716% 11/67#234% 23/6728% 19/6730% 20/67#139% 26/6727% 14/5175% 3/4
MetsR28% 19/6829% 20/68#240% 27/6821% 14/6821% 14/6822% 15/6826% 18/68#141% 28/68#335% 17/4836% 4/11
RA21% 14/6821% 14/68#324% 16/6821% 14/6824% 16/6824% 16/68#226% 18/6812% 8/68#131% 17/5555% 6/11

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.