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Final
2025-06-1207:10Citi Field
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Mets
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.1
Nationals scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 35%
Mets scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Heating upCombined vs league +14pp
#2
Inn.2
Nationals scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 20%
Mets scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +10pp
#3
Inn.9
Nationals scoring tendency
24%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 24%
Mets scoring tendency
33%
Own scoring 43%
Opponent allowing 22%
Sustained highCombined vs league +4pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Mets defense
40%R 45% · RA 35%
Mets offense × Nationals defense
32%R 35% · RA 30%
Sample 20Combined vs league +14pp
Last 20 72% · Season 56% · +17pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
62%
+8pp
4–6 Middle
35%
-18pp
7–9 Late
55%
+3pp
F5 first five
53%
+0pp
F9 full game
50%
-2pp
Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

66 games
0163350675343138322172533020411385364263552727518242298610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.61.21.92.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 279Runs Allowed 331

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

67 games
0153147633225134182412832622428235252263826750228292897710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 310Runs Allowed 221
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
NationalsR#133% 22/66#233% 22/6615% 10/6623% 15/6614% 9/66#332% 21/6627% 18/6621% 14/6628% 15/5450% 2/4
RA30% 20/66#332% 21/6626% 17/6617% 11/66#233% 22/6629% 19/6629% 19/66#139% 26/6627% 14/5175% 3/4
MetsR27% 18/6730% 20/67#239% 26/6721% 14/6719% 13/6722% 15/6725% 17/67#142% 28/67#335% 17/4836% 4/11
RA21% 14/6721% 14/67#324% 16/6721% 14/6724% 16/6724% 16/67#227% 18/6712% 8/67#131% 17/5455% 6/11

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.