Sportify
Final
2025-06-1107:45Busch Stadium
10-9
Team123456789RHE
Blue Jays30012020210160
Cardinals0004000239121

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.1
Blue Jays scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 40%
Cardinals scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Short-term swingCombined vs league +4pp
#2
Inn.2
Blue Jays scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Cardinals scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp
#3
Inn.8
Blue Jays scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Cardinals scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Cardinals defense
32%R 25% · RA 40%
Cardinals offense × Blue Jays defense
30%R 30% · RA 30%
Sample 20Combined vs league +4pp
Last 20 62% · Season 58% · +4pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
52%
-1pp
4–6 Middle
50%
-3pp
7–9 Late
50%
-2pp
F5 first five
53%
-0pp
F9 full game
51%
-2pp
Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

66 games
0142943582346130302403032423432355353062720745308162899910+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 281Runs Allowed 281

Cardinals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

66 games
01429445921361283124727332294303053925629307433782820981310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 305Runs Allowed 278
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Blue JaysR24% 16/6623% 15/66#135% 23/6620% 13/6629% 19/66#233% 22/6623% 15/66#330% 20/6625% 12/4873% 8/11
RA#135% 23/66#230% 20/6621% 14/6623% 15/6620% 13/66#329% 19/6621% 14/6626% 17/6627% 14/5236% 4/11
CardinalsR27% 18/6626% 17/66#230% 20/6629% 19/6624% 16/66#135% 23/6627% 18/66#330% 20/6628% 13/4750% 5/10
RA#230% 20/6618% 12/6621% 14/66#132% 21/6624% 16/66#326% 17/6624% 16/6626% 17/6624% 12/5180% 8/10

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.