Scoring Analysis

Final

2025-06-1107:10Citi Field

Nationals

Away

4-5

Mets

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H	E
Nationals	2	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	4	8	0
Mets	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	1X	5	8	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.1

Nationals scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 35%

Mets scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 30%

Heating upCombined vs league +11pp

Inn.9

Nationals scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 31%

Opponent allowing 25%

Mets scoring tendency

33%

Own scoring 43%

Opponent allowing 22%

Sustained highCombined vs league +7pp

Inn.7

Nationals scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 35%

Mets scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +3pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Mets defense

38%R 40% · RA 35%

Mets offense × Nationals defense

32%R 35% · RA 30%

Sample 20Combined vs league +11pp

Last 20 70% · Season 55% · +15pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

58%

+5pp

4–6 Middle

36%

-17pp

7–9 Late

56%

+4pp

F5 first five

51%

-2pp

F9 full game

50%

-3pp

Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

65 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 275Runs Allowed 326

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

66 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 305Runs Allowed 217

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Nationals	R	#132% 21/65	#232% 21/65	15% 10/65	23% 15/65	12% 8/65	#332% 21/65	28% 18/65	22% 14/65	28% 15/53	67% 2/3
Nationals	RA	#331% 20/65	31% 20/65	25% 16/65	17% 11/65	#234% 22/65	29% 19/65	29% 19/65	#138% 25/65	28% 14/50	67% 2/3
Mets	R	27% 18/66	29% 19/66	#238% 25/66	21% 14/66	20% 13/66	23% 15/66	26% 17/66	#141% 27/66	#336% 17/47	30% 3/10
Mets	RA	20% 13/66	20% 13/66	#324% 16/66	21% 14/66	23% 15/66	24% 16/66	#227% 18/66	12% 8/66	#132% 17/53	60% 6/10

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.