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Final
2025-06-0205:10Petco Park
4-6
Padres
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Pirates003100000470
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.1
Pirates scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 40%
Padres scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Heating upCombined vs league +6pp
#2
Inn.9
Pirates scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Padres scoring tendency
26%
Own scoring 24%
Opponent allowing 29%
Heating upCombined vs league +3pp
#3
Inn.6
Pirates scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 30%
Padres scoring tendency
20%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 20%
Heating upCombined vs league +1pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Pirates offense × Padres defense
32%R 25% · RA 40%
Padres offense × Pirates defense
32%R 35% · RA 30%
Sample 20Combined vs league +6pp
Last 20 65% · Season 56% · +9pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
49%
-5pp
4–6 Middle
49%
-4pp
7–9 Late
52%
-0pp
F5 first five
48%
-5pp
F9 full game
50%
-3pp
Show team trends+

Pirates — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

59 games
0102132432025111132143031830430325252362729719348202496610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 190Runs Allowed 246

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

56 games
011233547373312215228323302143622513216273473125891493510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 236Runs Allowed 222
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
PiratesR#229% 17/5914% 8/5920% 12/5919% 11/59#131% 18/5924% 14/5922% 13/5914% 8/59#324% 12/5038% 5/13
RA22% 13/5915% 9/59#231% 18/5920% 12/5927% 16/5925% 15/5925% 15/59#331% 18/59#138% 16/4246% 6/13
PadresR#134% 19/5625% 14/56#232% 18/5625% 14/5629% 16/5616% 9/56#332% 18/5632% 18/5618% 7/3950% 3/6
RA#227% 15/5618% 10/56#134% 19/5623% 13/5623% 13/5623% 13/56#327% 15/5620% 11/5614% 6/4467% 4/6

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.