Scoring Analysis

Final

2025-05-3009:40T-Mobile Park

Nationals

Away

9-3

Mariners

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H	E
Nationals	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	7	9	12	1
Mariners	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	1	3	7	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.1

Nationals scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 25%

Mariners scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 25%

Sustained highCombined vs league +4pp

Inn.3

Nationals scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 15%

Opponent allowing 40%

Mariners scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 30%

Heating upCombined vs league +6pp

Inn.9

Nationals scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 29%

Opponent allowing 35%

Mariners scoring tendency

26%

Own scoring 16%

Opponent allowing 35%

Heating upCombined vs league +5pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Mariners defense

32%R 40% · RA 25%

Mariners offense × Nationals defense

30%R 35% · RA 25%

Sample 20Combined vs league +4pp

Last 20 62% · Season 65% · -3pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

56%

+2pp

4–6 Middle

51%

-2pp

7–9 Late

53%

+1pp

F5 first five

53%

+0pp

F9 full game

53%

+0pp

Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

55 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 235Runs Allowed 282

Mariners — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

54 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 247Runs Allowed 229

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Nationals	R	#333% 18/55	#135% 19/55	15% 8/55	25% 14/55	13% 7/55	#235% 19/55	27% 15/55	24% 13/55	31% 14/45	50% 1/2
Nationals	RA	29% 16/55	#331% 17/55	27% 15/55	16% 9/55	#236% 20/55	31% 17/55	31% 17/55	#142% 23/55	29% 12/41	50% 1/2
Mariners	R	#137% 20/54	#233% 18/54	26% 14/54	24% 13/54	28% 15/54	#330% 16/54	26% 14/54	22% 12/54	21% 9/42	38% 5/13
Mariners	RA	#231% 17/54	15% 8/54	#331% 17/54	#135% 19/54	30% 16/54	22% 12/54	24% 13/54	31% 17/54	24% 11/46	38% 5/13

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.