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Final
2025-05-2809:40Petco Park
6-8
Padres
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Marlins6000000006103
Padres12211001X8131

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.1
Marlins scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 30%
Padres scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -2pp
#2
Inn.4
Marlins scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 25%
Padres scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 25%
Short-term swingCombined vs league +0pp
#3
Inn.8
Marlins scoring tendency
18%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 20%
Padres scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 20%
Short-term swingCombined vs league +1pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Marlins offense × Padres defense
28%R 25% · RA 30%
Padres offense × Marlins defense
30%R 35% · RA 25%
Sample 20Combined vs league -2pp
Last 20 57% · Season 60% · -2pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
45%
-9pp
4–6 Middle
49%
-4pp
7–9 Late
49%
-3pp
F5 first five
46%
-7pp
F9 full game
48%
-5pp
Show team trends+

Marlins — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

52 games
016335067202811127292932329432455315363024722318281797610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.61.01.312345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 213Runs Allowed 289

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

52 games
011223345362611915226313232043516511196253173022891493510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 217Runs Allowed 199
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
MarlinsR27% 14/5219% 10/5212% 6/5225% 13/52#329% 15/52#233% 17/52#135% 18/5217% 9/5224% 11/4560% 6/10
RA33% 17/5231% 16/52#237% 19/5229% 15/52#337% 19/52#140% 21/5225% 13/5231% 16/5221% 8/3940% 4/10
PadresR#135% 18/5223% 12/52#233% 17/5221% 11/5229% 15/5215% 8/52#333% 17/5233% 17/5219% 7/3750% 3/6
RA#225% 13/5219% 10/52#135% 18/5223% 12/5221% 11/5223% 12/52#325% 13/5219% 10/5215% 6/4067% 4/6

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.