Scoring Analysis

Final

2025-05-2806:35Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Cardinals

Away

7-4

Orioles

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Cardinals	1	2	0	0	0	0	1	3	0	7	14	1
Orioles	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	0	4	8	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.9

Cardinals scoring tendency

43%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 62%

Orioles scoring tendency

22%

Own scoring 26%

Opponent allowing 18%

Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp

Inn.4

Cardinals scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 25%

Orioles scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 45%

Sustained highCombined vs league +8pp

Inn.6

Cardinals scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 50%

Opponent allowing 25%

Orioles scoring tendency

22%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 20%

Sustained highCombined vs league +5pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cardinals offense × Orioles defense

43%R 25% · RA 62%

Orioles offense × Cardinals defense

22%R 26% · RA 18%

Sample 12Combined vs league +12pp

Last 20 65% · Season 56% · +10pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

48%

-7pp

4–6 Middle

55%

+2pp

7–9 Late

54%

+2pp

F5 first five

50%

-4pp

F9 full game

52%

-1pp

Show team trends+

Cardinals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

54 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 256Runs Allowed 216

Orioles — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

53 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 205Runs Allowed 297

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Cardinals	R	28% 15/54	24% 13/54	#233% 18/54	31% 17/54	24% 13/54	#141% 22/54	26% 14/54	26% 14/54	#333% 12/36	50% 4/8
Cardinals	RA	#228% 15/54	13% 7/54	24% 13/54	#130% 16/54	22% 12/54	#328% 15/54	24% 13/54	26% 14/54	22% 9/41	75% 6/8
Orioles	R	#326% 14/53	26% 14/53	#134% 18/53	21% 11/53	21% 11/53	21% 11/53	#230% 16/53	26% 14/53	16% 7/44	50% 2/4
Orioles	RA	#238% 20/53	#336% 19/53	32% 17/53	28% 15/53	36% 19/53	26% 14/53	32% 17/53	30% 16/53	#140% 14/35	75% 3/4

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.