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Final
2025-05-2708:40Petco Park
3-4
Padres
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.1
Marlins scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 25%
Padres scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -4pp
#2
Inn.6
Marlins scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 30%
Padres scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 40%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -2pp
#3
Inn.7
Marlins scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 35%
Padres scoring tendency
18%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 20%
Sustained highCombined vs league +1pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Marlins offense × Padres defense
22%R 20% · RA 25%
Padres offense × Marlins defense
32%R 35% · RA 30%
Sample 20Combined vs league -4pp
Last 20 55% · Season 59% · -4pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
45%
-9pp
4–6 Middle
50%
-3pp
7–9 Late
51%
-1pp
F5 first five
46%
-7pp
F9 full game
49%
-5pp
Show team trends+

Marlins — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

51 games
016335067182811027292932327432455315363024722308281797510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.61.01.312345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 210Runs Allowed 285

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

51 games
011223345362411914226313212043516511196253172922891492510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 213Runs Allowed 196
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
MarlinsR25% 13/5118% 9/5112% 6/5125% 13/51#329% 15/51#233% 17/51#135% 18/5118% 9/5125% 11/4475% 6/8
RA33% 17/5131% 16/51#237% 19/5127% 14/51#337% 19/51#141% 21/5125% 13/5129% 15/5121% 8/3838% 3/8
PadresR#135% 18/5124% 12/51#233% 17/5120% 10/5129% 15/5116% 8/51#333% 17/5131% 16/5119% 7/3650% 2/4
RA#324% 12/5118% 9/51#135% 18/5124% 12/5122% 11/5124% 12/51#225% 13/5120% 10/5115% 6/39100% 4/4

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.