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2025-05-2602:10Daikin Park
3-5
Astros
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Mariners2010000003111
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.3
Mariners scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 25%
Astros scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 40%
Heating upCombined vs league +10pp
#2
Inn.5
Mariners scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 35%
Astros scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +0pp
#3
Inn.1
Mariners scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 20%
Astros scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 30%
Cooling downCombined vs league -8pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mariners offense × Astros defense
32%R 40% · RA 25%
Astros offense × Mariners defense
32%R 25% · RA 40%
Sample 20Combined vs league +10pp
Last 20 65% · Season 51% · +14pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
52%
-2pp
4–6 Middle
48%
-6pp
7–9 Late
41%
-12pp
F5 first five
50%
-4pp
F9 full game
47%
-7pp
Show team trends+

Mariners — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

51 games
01021324329281271122126322294263452717628217243081912912610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 235Runs Allowed 214

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

52 games
0112233441334127222222431522430295351462711726208111193 10+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 209Runs Allowed 187
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
MarinersR#135% 18/51#235% 18/5125% 13/5125% 13/5127% 14/51#329% 15/5127% 14/5122% 11/5122% 9/4038% 5/13
RA#133% 17/5114% 7/51#331% 16/51#233% 17/5129% 15/5122% 11/5125% 13/5131% 16/5123% 10/4338% 5/13
AstrosR17% 9/5225% 13/5219% 10/5219% 10/52#327% 14/52#138% 20/5227% 14/52#227% 14/5117% 6/3550% 2/4
RA#227% 14/52#325% 13/5225% 13/5221% 11/52#137% 19/5219% 10/5214% 7/5118% 9/5118% 7/390% 0/4

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.