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Final
2025-05-2507:05George M. Steinbrenner Field
1-3
Rays
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Team123456789RHE
Blue Jays000001000160
Rays30000000X330

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.4
Blue Jays scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 35%
Rays scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 35%
Heating upCombined vs league +17pp
#2
Inn.8
Blue Jays scoring tendency
48%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 45%
Rays scoring tendency
20%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 15%
Sustained highCombined vs league +16pp
#3
Inn.3
Blue Jays scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Rays scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +5pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Rays defense
30%R 25% · RA 35%
Rays offense × Blue Jays defense
40%R 45% · RA 35%
Sample 20Combined vs league +17pp
Last 20 70% · Season 52% · +18pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
48%
-6pp
4–6 Middle
58%
+5pp
7–9 Late
55%
+2pp
F5 first five
53%
-0pp
F9 full game
54%
+0pp
Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

50 games
0102131421630111212272932117423225282862616733218112398910+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.81.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 204Runs Allowed 216

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

50 games
0102030402022112222322132924417255222561714718298211498310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.01.52.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 196Runs Allowed 199
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Blue JaysR24% 12/5016% 8/50#136% 18/5022% 11/5028% 14/50#232% 16/5028% 14/50#330% 15/5022% 8/3770% 7/10
RA#134% 17/50#328% 14/5026% 13/5022% 11/5018% 9/50#234% 17/5026% 13/5024% 12/5028% 11/4040% 4/10
RaysR22% 11/5016% 8/50#234% 17/50#136% 18/5020% 10/5024% 12/5018% 9/5026% 13/50#330% 12/4080% 4/5
RA#132% 16/50#330% 15/5030% 15/5024% 12/5026% 13/5024% 12/5022% 11/50#232% 16/5026% 11/4340% 2/5

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.