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Final
2025-05-2408:10Daikin Park
5-3
Astros
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Mariners0010103005100
Astros0020100003110

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.3
Mariners scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 20%
Astros scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 40%
Heating upCombined vs league +7pp
#2
Inn.6
Mariners scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 25%
Astros scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 20%
Sustained highCombined vs league +2pp
#3
Inn.1
Mariners scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Astros scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 30%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -6pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mariners offense × Astros defense
30%R 40% · RA 20%
Astros offense × Mariners defense
32%R 25% · RA 40%
Sample 20Combined vs league +7pp
Last 20 62% · Season 49% · +14pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
52%
-3pp
4–6 Middle
52%
-2pp
7–9 Late
44%
-8pp
F5 first five
50%
-3pp
F9 full game
49%
-4pp
Show team trends+

Mariners — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

49 games
01021314229261261122024322294253352717625217243081912912610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 229Runs Allowed 209

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

50 games
011223344113412721220233152242928535146278726208111193 10+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 204Runs Allowed 181
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
MarinersR#137% 18/49#235% 17/4924% 12/4927% 13/4927% 13/49#331% 15/4927% 13/4922% 11/4924% 9/3838% 5/13
RA#233% 16/4914% 7/4931% 15/49#135% 17/4929% 14/4922% 11/4927% 13/49#333% 16/4924% 10/4238% 5/13
AstrosR16% 8/5026% 13/5018% 9/5020% 10/5026% 13/50#140% 20/50#328% 14/50#229% 14/4918% 6/3450% 2/4
RA#228% 14/50#324% 12/5024% 12/5022% 11/50#136% 18/5020% 10/5012% 6/4918% 9/4919% 7/370% 0/4

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.