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Final
2025-05-2407:05George M. Steinbrenner Field
1-3
Rays
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Team123456789RHE
Blue Jays000000100140
Rays00210000X380

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.8
Blue Jays scoring tendency
48%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 45%
Rays scoring tendency
20%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 15%
Sustained highCombined vs league +16pp
#2
Inn.4
Blue Jays scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 35%
Rays scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 30%
Heating upCombined vs league +12pp
#3
Inn.6
Blue Jays scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Rays scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +5pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Rays defense
48%R 50% · RA 45%
Rays offense × Blue Jays defense
20%R 25% · RA 15%
Sample 20Combined vs league +16pp
Last 20 68% · Season 57% · +10pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
49%
-5pp
4–6 Middle
59%
+6pp
7–9 Late
53%
+1pp
F5 first five
53%
-1pp
F9 full game
54%
+0pp
Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

49 games
0102131421630111212272732116423225282862516733218112398910+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.81.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 203Runs Allowed 213

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

49 games
091928382022112222302132824417255222561713718298211498310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.01.52.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 193Runs Allowed 198
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Blue JaysR24% 12/4916% 8/49#137% 18/4922% 11/4929% 14/49#233% 16/4927% 13/49#331% 15/4922% 8/3670% 7/10
RA#135% 17/49#329% 14/4924% 12/4920% 10/4918% 9/49#235% 17/4927% 13/4924% 12/4928% 11/4040% 4/10
RaysR22% 11/4916% 8/49#233% 16/49#135% 17/4920% 10/4924% 12/4918% 9/4927% 13/49#330% 12/4080% 4/5
RA#133% 16/49#331% 15/4931% 15/4924% 12/4927% 13/4924% 12/4920% 10/49#233% 16/4926% 11/4240% 2/5

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.