Scoring Analysis

Final

2025-05-2308:10Daikin Park

Mariners

Away

2-9

Astros

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Mariners	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	10	0
Astros	0	0	2	3	1	3	0	0	X	9	13	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.3

Mariners scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 25%

Astros scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 35%

Heating upCombined vs league +5pp

Inn.6

Mariners scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 25%

Astros scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 15%

Short-term swingCombined vs league -3pp

Inn.8

Mariners scoring tendency

23%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 21%

Astros scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 32%

Opponent allowing 25%

Short-term swingCombined vs league -0pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mariners offense × Astros defense

32%R 40% · RA 25%

Astros offense × Mariners defense

28%R 20% · RA 35%

Sample 20Combined vs league +5pp

Last 20 60% · Season 47% · +13pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

50%

-4pp

4–6 Middle

48%

-6pp

7–9 Late

47%

-5pp

F5 first five

48%

-6pp

F9 full game

48%

-5pp

Show team trends+

Mariners — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

48 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 227Runs Allowed 200

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

49 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 195Runs Allowed 179

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Mariners	R	#135% 17/48	#233% 16/48	25% 12/48	27% 13/48	27% 13/48	#331% 15/48	27% 13/48	23% 11/48	24% 9/37	38% 5/13
Mariners	RA	#133% 16/48	15% 7/48	29% 14/48	#233% 16/48	27% 13/48	21% 10/48	27% 13/48	#333% 16/48	24% 10/42	38% 5/13
Astros	R	16% 8/49	27% 13/49	16% 8/49	18% 9/49	24% 12/49	#139% 19/49	#329% 14/49	#229% 14/48	18% 6/34	50% 2/4
Astros	RA	#227% 13/49	22% 11/49	#324% 12/49	22% 11/49	#137% 18/49	20% 10/49	12% 6/48	19% 9/48	19% 7/36	0% 0/4

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.