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Final
2025-05-1904:10Petco Park
6-1
Padres
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.8
Mariners scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 25%
Padres scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp
#2
Inn.3
Mariners scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 35%
Padres scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +6pp
#3
Inn.1
Mariners scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 20%
Padres scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +2pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mariners offense × Padres defense
22%R 20% · RA 25%
Padres offense × Mariners defense
43%R 45% · RA 40%
Sample 20Combined vs league +14pp
Last 20 65% · Season 56% · +9pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
54%
-1pp
4–6 Middle
53%
-0pp
7–9 Late
56%
+4pp
F5 first five
54%
+0pp
F9 full game
54%
+1pp
Show team trends+

Mariners — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

44 games
01020304025251251121920319234253252514625207183081711912610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 210Runs Allowed 192

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

44 games
0112233443422116122252732115435105916624247281586129 210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 198Runs Allowed 155
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
MarinersR#136% 16/44#236% 16/4425% 11/4427% 12/44#330% 13/4430% 13/4430% 13/4420% 9/4424% 8/3338% 5/13
RA#234% 15/4416% 7/4427% 12/44#334% 15/4430% 13/4423% 10/4427% 12/44#136% 16/4423% 9/3938% 5/13
PadresR#136% 16/4423% 10/44#236% 16/4423% 10/4434% 15/4416% 7/44#336% 16/4434% 15/4417% 5/290% 0/2
RA#323% 10/4416% 7/44#136% 16/4423% 10/4418% 8/4423% 10/44#225% 11/4420% 9/4414% 5/35100% 2/2

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.