Scoring Analysis

Final

2025-05-1901:35Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Nationals

Away

10-4

Orioles

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Nationals	1	6	0	1	0	0	0	1	1	10	13	1
Orioles	0	0	0	0	1	2	1	0	0	4	9	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.9

Nationals scoring tendency

39%

Own scoring 32%

Opponent allowing 46%

Orioles scoring tendency

37%

Own scoring 24%

Opponent allowing 50%

Sustained highCombined vs league +24pp

Inn.7

Nationals scoring tendency

45%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 55%

Orioles scoring tendency

22%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 25%

Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp

Inn.2

Nationals scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 35%

Orioles scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 40%

Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Orioles defense

39%R 32% · RA 46%

Orioles offense × Nationals defense

37%R 24% · RA 50%

Sample 13Combined vs league +24pp

Last 20 76% · Season 56% · +20pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

58%

+3pp

4–6 Middle

53%

-0pp

7–9 Late

68%

+16pp

F5 first five

55%

+1pp

F9 full game

60%

+6pp

Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

47 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 197Runs Allowed 252

Orioles — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

44 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 165Runs Allowed 244

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Nationals	R	30% 14/47	#232% 15/47	15% 7/47	21% 10/47	13% 6/47	#140% 19/47	28% 13/47	23% 11/47	#331% 12/39	0% 0/1
Nationals	RA	30% 14/47	32% 15/47	30% 14/47	17% 8/47	#238% 18/47	32% 15/47	30% 14/47	#145% 21/47	#332% 11/34	100% 1/1
Orioles	R	27% 12/44	#230% 13/44	#136% 16/44	18% 8/44	18% 8/44	20% 9/44	#330% 13/44	23% 10/44	14% 5/36	0% 0/1
Orioles	RA	#141% 18/44	#239% 17/44	36% 16/44	27% 12/44	34% 15/44	25% 11/44	#339% 17/44	27% 12/44	34% 10/29	100% 1/1

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.