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2025-05-1808:40Petco Park
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Padres
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.8
Mariners scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 25%
Padres scoring tendency
45%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 45%
Sustained highCombined vs league +16pp
#2
Inn.1
Mariners scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 20%
Padres scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +5pp
#3
Inn.3
Mariners scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 35%
Padres scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +6pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mariners offense × Padres defense
22%R 20% · RA 25%
Padres offense × Mariners defense
45%R 45% · RA 45%
Sample 20Combined vs league +16pp
Last 20 68% · Season 57% · +11pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
56%
+1pp
4–6 Middle
53%
-0pp
7–9 Late
54%
+2pp
F5 first five
55%
+1pp
F9 full game
54%
+1pp
Show team trends+

Mariners — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

43 games
01020304025251251121920319224243252514624207183081511912610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 206Runs Allowed 191

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

43 games
011223344342211612225273201543595916624237281586109 210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 197Runs Allowed 151
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
MarinersR#137% 16/43#237% 16/4326% 11/4328% 12/4328% 12/43#330% 13/4328% 12/4321% 9/4322% 7/3238% 5/13
RA#235% 15/4316% 7/4328% 12/43#333% 14/4330% 13/4323% 10/4328% 12/43#137% 16/4324% 9/3838% 5/13
PadresR#137% 16/4323% 10/43#237% 16/4321% 9/4335% 15/4316% 7/43#337% 16/4335% 15/4318% 5/280% 0/2
RA#223% 10/4316% 7/43#137% 16/43#323% 10/4316% 7/4323% 10/4323% 10/4321% 9/4312% 4/34100% 2/2

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.