Scoring Analysis

Final

2025-05-1804:05Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Nationals

Away

10-6

Orioles

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Nationals	6	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	10	11	2
Orioles	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	4	6	10	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.9

Nationals scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 26%

Opponent allowing 38%

Orioles scoring tendency

31%

Own scoring 18%

Opponent allowing 44%

Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp

Inn.2

Nationals scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 35%

Orioles scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 45%

Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp

Inn.5

Nationals scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 15%

Opponent allowing 40%

Orioles scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 45%

Sustained highCombined vs league +10pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Orioles defense

32%R 26% · RA 38%

Orioles offense × Nationals defense

31%R 18% · RA 44%

Sample 13Combined vs league +12pp

Last 20 63% · Season 51% · +12pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

57%

+2pp

4–6 Middle

54%

+0pp

7–9 Late

62%

+10pp

F5 first five

54%

+0pp

F9 full game

58%

+4pp

Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

46 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 187Runs Allowed 246

Orioles — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

43 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 159Runs Allowed 234

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Nationals	R	28% 13/46	#230% 14/46	15% 7/46	22% 10/46	13% 6/46	#141% 19/46	28% 13/46	24% 11/46	#329% 11/38	0% 0/1
Nationals	RA	30% 14/46	#333% 15/46	30% 14/46	17% 8/46	#239% 18/46	33% 15/46	28% 13/46	#146% 21/46	30% 10/33	100% 1/1
Orioles	R	#328% 12/43	#230% 13/43	#137% 16/43	19% 8/43	19% 8/43	21% 9/43	28% 12/43	23% 10/43	11% 4/35	0% 0/1
Orioles	RA	#140% 17/43	#337% 16/43	37% 16/43	28% 12/43	35% 15/43	26% 11/43	#240% 17/43	28% 12/43	32% 9/28	100% 1/1

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.