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Final
2025-05-1709:40Petco Park
5-1
Padres
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.1
Mariners scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 20%
Padres scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp
#2
Inn.3
Mariners scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 40%
Padres scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp
#3
Inn.8
Mariners scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 25%
Padres scoring tendency
45%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 45%
Sustained highCombined vs league +17pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mariners offense × Padres defense
30%R 40% · RA 20%
Padres offense × Mariners defense
38%R 35% · RA 40%
Sample 20Combined vs league +9pp
Last 20 68% · Season 65% · +2pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
61%
+6pp
4–6 Middle
52%
-1pp
7–9 Late
53%
+1pp
F5 first five
57%
+4pp
F9 full game
55%
+2pp
Show team trends+

Mariners — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

42 games
01020304024251251121920317224243252314624207183081510912610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 201Runs Allowed 190

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

42 games
011223344342111612225273201343595914624237281585109 210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 196Runs Allowed 146
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
MarinersR#236% 15/42#138% 16/4226% 11/4226% 11/42#329% 12/4229% 12/4229% 12/4221% 9/4223% 7/3138% 5/13
RA#236% 15/4217% 7/4229% 12/42#333% 14/4231% 13/4224% 10/4229% 12/42#138% 16/4222% 8/3738% 5/13
PadresR#138% 16/4224% 10/42#238% 16/4221% 9/4236% 15/4217% 7/42#338% 16/4236% 15/4215% 4/270% 0/2
RA#321% 9/4217% 7/42#138% 16/4221% 9/4217% 7/4221% 9/42#224% 10/4221% 9/4212% 4/33100% 2/2

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.